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Nature's 2016 Resource Budget Used Up at Quickest Rate Ever

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Nature's 2016 Resource Budget Used Up at Quickest Rate Ever

Humanity will hit Earth Overshoot Day five days earlier than last year. This coming Monday, Aug. 8, we will have officially used up nature's budget for the entire year, according to the international research firm Global Footprint Network. Last year's overshoot day was on Aug. 13.

Deforestation by humans is a major factor in climate change. When forests are cleared, first, carbon absorption ceases and, second, the carbon stored in the trees is released into the atmosphere as CO2 if the wood is burned. Flickr

"We continue to grow our ecological debt," Pascal Canfin, the French head of the World Wildlife Fund, told AFP in reaction to the news.

"From Monday, August 8, we will be living on credit because in eight months we would have consumed the natural capital that our planet can renew in a year."

This is the quickest rate that humans have outstripped what the planet produces in a year.

But as you can see in this tweet, this unfortunate milestone has happened every year since 1981 when Earth Overshoot Day was on Dec. 14. What's concerning is that we hit this point earlier almost every time.

Compared to the 1960s, humankind only spent three-quarters of Earth's annual resource allotment. However, by the 1970s, economic and population growth has driven Earth into this annual downward trend.

"We are emitting more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere than our oceans and forests can absorb, and we deplete fisheries and harvest forests more quickly than they can reproduce and regrow," the Global Footprint Network said.

"Carbon emissions are the fastest growing contributor to ecological overshoot, with the carbon footprint now making up 60 percent of humanity's demand on nature, which we call its Ecological Footprint."

At this rate, the world needs the resources of 1.6 Earths in order to sustain demand for nature's resources, the Global Footprint Network calculated. It would take 4.8 Earths if everyone lived like people do in the U.S. and 5.4 Earths if everyone lived like Australia.

With a projected human population growth from 7.3 billion today to 11.2 billion by 2100, this will only put more strain on Earth's limited resources even more as more carbon is emitted and more land is cleared to provide food.

However, the Global Footprint Network noted that the goals set by the Paris climate agreement provides a ray of hope.

"Such a new way of living comes with many advantages, and making it happen takes effort," Mathis Wackernagel, co-founder and CEO of Global Footprint Network, said. "The good news is that it is possible with current technology, and financially advantageous with overall benefits exceeding costs. It will stimulate emerging sectors like renewable energy, while reducing risks and costs associated with the impact of climate change on inadequate infrastructure. The only resource we still need more of is political will."

"The Paris climate agreement is the strongest statement yet about the need to reduce the carbon Footprint drastically. Ultimately, collapse or stability is a choice," Wackernagel added. "We forcefully recommend nations, cities and individuals take swift, bold actions to make the Paris goals an attainable reality."

The organization pointed out that many countries have taken steps in the right direction to reduce their ecological footprint:

Fortunately, some countries are embracing the challenge. For instance, Costa Rica generated 97 percent of its electricity from renewable sources during the first three months of 2016. Portugal, Germany and Britain also demonstrated groundbreaking levels of renewable energy capability this year, when 100 percent of their electricity demand was met by renewables for several minutes or, in the case of Portugal, for several days. In China, meanwhile, the government has outlined a plan to reduce its citizens' meat consumption by 50 percent, which it calculates will lower the carbon dioxide equivalent emissions from China's livestock industry by 1 billion tonnes by 2030.

The Global Footprint Network also encourages individuals to make a positive difference on the environment. The organization has launched a social media campaign with the hashtag #pledgefortheplanet where you can make planet-friendly pledges such as reducing waste, hosting vegetarian meal parties, lowering your energy consumption or more for special prizes.

A plume of smoke from wildfires burning in the Angeles National Forest is seen from downtown Los Angeles on Aug. 29, 2009 in Los Angeles, California. Kevork Djansezian / Getty Images

California is bracing for rare January wildfires this week amid damaging Santa Ana winds coupled with unusually hot and dry winter weather.

High winds, gusting up to 80- to 90 miles per hour in some parts of the state, are expected to last through Wednesday evening. Nearly the entire state has been in a drought for months, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor, which, alongside summerlike temperatures, has left vegetation dry and flammable.

Utilities Southern California Edison and PG&E, which serves the central and northern portions of the state, warned it may preemptively shut off power to hundreds of thousands of customers to reduce the risk of electrical fires sparked by trees and branches falling on live power lines. The rare January fire conditions come on the heels of the worst wildfire season ever recorded in California, as climate change exacerbates the factors causing fires to be more frequent and severe.

California is also experiencing the most severe surge of COVID-19 cases since the beginning of the pandemic, with hospitals and ICUs over capacity and a stay-at-home order in place. Wildfire smoke can increase the risk of adverse health effects due to COVID, and evacuations forcing people to crowd into shelters could further spread the virus.

As reported by AccuWeather:

In the atmosphere, air flows from high to low pressure. The setup into Wednesday is like having two giant atmospheric fans working as a team with one pulling and the other pushing the air in the same direction.
Normally, mountains to the north and east of Los Angeles would protect the downtown which sits in a basin. However, with the assistance of the offshore storm, there will be areas of gusty winds even in the L.A. Basin. The winds may get strong enough in parts of the basin to break tree limbs and lead to sporadic power outages and sparks that could ignite fires.
"Typically, Santa Ana winds stay out of downtown Los Angeles and the L.A. Basin, but this time, conditions may set up just right to bring 30- to 40-mph wind gusts even in those typically calm condition areas," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Mike Doll.

For a deeper dive:

AP, LA Times, San Francisco Chronicle, Washington Post, Weather Channel, AccuWeather, New York Times, Slideshow: New York Times; Climate Signals Background: Wildfires, 2020 Western wildfire season

For more climate change and clean energy news, you can follow Climate Nexus on Twitter and Facebook, sign up for daily Hot News, and visit their news site, Nexus Media News.

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